American Public Education, Inc.
APEI Details
American Public Education, Inc. (NASDAQ: APEI) American Public Education, Inc. provides online and on-campus postsecondary education, it has three subsidiary schools that serve roughly 108,400 students: American Public University System (APUS), Rasmussen University (RU), and National Education Seminars, also known as Hondros College of Nursing (HCN). Course registrations and enrollments, teaching services, tuition, and other fees are how APEI makes money.
Latest News:
Financial Highlights: Q1FY22 (ended March 31, 2022)
Key Risks:
The company is exposed to variety of risks ranging from risks related to attracting and retaining students, inability to effectively market their programs or expand into new markets, and continued strong competition in the postsecondary education market could impact their institutions’ market share and increase cost of acquiring student.
Q2 FY22 Guidance:
Outlook (Source: Investors Presentation, May 10, 2022)
Valuation Methodology: EV/Sales Multiple based Relative Valuation
(Source: Analysis by Kalkine Group)
*% Premium/(Discount) is based on our assessment of the company’s NTM trading multiple after considering its key growth drivers, economic moat, stock's historical trading multiples versus peer average/median, and investment risks.
Stock Recommendation:
APEI's stock price has fallen 36.10% in the past six months and is leaning towards the lower end of its 52-week range of USD 30.00 to USD 12.82. We have valued the stock using the EV/ Sales multiple-based relative valuation methodology and arrived at a target price of USD 16.43.
Several institutional investors and hedge funds have recently made changes to their positions in APEI. Denali Advisors LLC bought a new position valued at about USD 56,000. Marshall Wace LLP purchased a new stake valued at about USD 56,000. Lazard Asset Management LLC purchased a new stake valued at about USD 108,000. Canada Pension Plan Investment Board purchased a new stake valued at about USD 134,000. Finally, Allspring Global Investments Holdings LLC purchased a new during the fourth quarter valued at about USD 173,000. Also, Hedge funds and other institutional investors own 98.23% of the company's stock
Hence, considering the strong quarterly performance, financial guidance, business model, strategic acquisitions, high institutional ownership, associated risks, and current valuation, we recommend a "Speculative Buy" rating on the stock at the current market price of USD 13.71 as of May 24, 2022, at 08:05 AM PDT.
1 Year Technical Price Chart (as of May 24, 2022, at 08:05 AM PDT). Source: REFINITIV, Analysis by Kalkine Group
Technical Summary Analysis
*Current Market Price as of May 25, 2022, at 08:05 AM PDT
Technical Indicators Defined: -
Support: A level where-in the stock prices tend to find support if they are falling, and downtrend may take a pause backed by demand or buying interest.
Resistance: A level where-in the stock prices tend to find resistance when they are rising, and uptrend may take a pause due to profit booking or selling interest.
Stop-loss: It is a level to protect further losses in case of unfavourable movement in the stock prices.
Note 1: The reference data in this report has been partly sourced from REFINITIV.
Note 2: Investment decision should be made depending on the investors' appetite on upside potential, risks, holding duration, and any previous holdings. Investors can consider exiting from the stock if the Target Price mentioned as per the valuation has been achieved and subject to the factors discussed above.
Note 3: The report publishing date is as per the Pacific Time Zone.
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