Highlights
- BAT expects c.2% revenue and adjusted profit from operations growth for FY25.
- New Category revenue led by Velo Plus accelerates to double-digit growth in H2.
- FY26 share buy-back programme set at GBP1.3bn alongside planned dividends and leverage reduction.
British American Tobacco (LSE:BATS) has reaffirmed its guidance for FY25, projecting approximately 2% growth in revenue and adjusted profit from operations (APFO1) at constant rates. New Category revenue is accelerating in H2, contributing to mid-single digit growth for the full fiscal year.
Regional and Product Performance
In the U.S., the company reported improved revenue and profit, supported by combustibles delivery and Velo Plus, which is on track for full-year profitability3. Early indications of Federal and State enforcement actions addressing illicit Vapour products have supported recent improvements in Vuse volume and revenue.
New Category Performance
Achieved volume share gains of +460bps to 15.9% of Total Oral and +590bps to 31.8% of Modern Oral in top markets. In the U.S., Velo Plus volume share of Modern Oral rose +920bps to 15.6%, with double-digit revenue growth.
Full-year revenue broadly flat, with volume share in top markets down -1.2ppts, affected by Japan and phase-out of legacy super-slims. glo Hilo is being established in premium segments, with H2 launches in Japan (Sept), Poland (Oct), and Italy (Nov).
Global tracked channels value share in top markets rose +10bps, driven by U.S. +70bps. Early results for Vuse Ultra are reported in Canada, Germany, and France, while FY revenue is expected to be down high-single digit due to illicit Vapour and market exits.
Cash Flow and Capital Allocation
BAT expects operating cash flow conversion in excess of 95% for FY25. Net finance costs are projected at c.GBP1.8bn, subject to FX and interest rate fluctuations. The company intends to reduce leverage to 2.0–2.5x adjusted net debt/EBITDA by the end of 2026 while maintaining dividends and the GBP1.3bn FY26 share buy-back programme. Gross capital expenditure for 2025 is projected at c.GBP650m.
Share Price Snapshot
BATS was trading 3.71% lower at GBX 4,157 per share as of 09 December 2025
Download Free Report – Explore 3 Stock Ideas & Industry Insights
Unlock 3 stock ideas and key industry insights in our free report. This information is general in nature and does not consider your personal objectives, financial situation, or needs. It is not financial advice.
All investments involve risk—consider independent advice before making any investment decisions.
View 3 Research Reports
Disclaimer:
References to ‘Kalkine’, ‘we’, ‘our’ and ‘us’ refer to Kalkine Limited.
This website is a service of Kalkine Limited. Kalkine Limited is a private limited company, incorporated in England and Wales with registration number 07903332. Kalkine Limited is authorised and regulated by the Financial Conduct Authority under reference number 579414.
The article has been prepared for informational purposes only and is not intended to be used as a complete source of information on any particular company. No advice or information, whether oral or written, obtained by you from Kalkine or through or from the service shall create any warranty not expressly stated. Kalkine does not intend to exclude any liability which it is not permitted to exclude under applicable law or regulation.
Kalkine does not offer financial advice based upon your personal financial situation or goals, and we shall NOT be held liable for any investment or trading losses you may incur by using the opinions expressed in our publications, market updates, news alerts and corporate profiles. Kalkine does not intend to exclude any liability which it is not permitted to exclude under applicable law or regulation. Kalkine’s non-personalised advice does not in any way endorse or recommend individuals, investment products or services for your personal financial situation. You should discuss your portfolios and the risk tolerance level appropriate for your personal financial situation, with a professional authorised financial planner and adviser. You should be aware that the value of any investment and the income from it can go down as well as up and you may not get back the amount invested.
Kalkine Media Limited, an affiliate of Kalkine Limited, may have received, or be entitled to receive, financial consideration in connection with providing information about certain entity(s) covered on its website.