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UK Technical Analysis Report

FTSE All-Share Traded Lower, Two LSE Listed Stocks Gaining Upside Momentum – ITRK AND RS1

Sep 10, 2024

  • ITRK:LSE
  • Investment Type
    Mid - Cap
  • Risk Level
  • Action
  • Rec. Price (GBX)
  • RS1:LSE
  • Investment Type
    Mid - Cap
  • Risk Level
  • Action
  • Rec. Price (GBX)

Company Overview: Intertek Group PLC (LON: ITRK) is a United Kingdom-based total quality assurance provider. The Company delivers bespoke assurance, testing, inspection and certification (ATIC) solutions for its customers' operations and supply chains. Its segments include Consumer Products, Corporate Assurance, Health and Safety, Industry and Infrastructure, and World of Energy. RS Group PLC (LON: RS1) is a United Kingdom-based company, which is a global omni-channel provider of product and service solutions for designers, builders and maintainers of industrial equipment and operations. The Company's segments include EMEA, Americas and Asia Pacific. This Report covers the Price Action and Technical Indicators Analysis along with the Target Levels, Stop Loss, Support Levels, Resistance Levels, and Recommendations on these two stocks.

FTSE All-Share Index (.FTAS) Market Round-Up

Last week, the FTSE All-Share Index (.FTAS) demonstrated a negative trend, beginning at 4576.30 and climbing to a peak of 4578.93 before closing at 4467.47, marking a modest loss of -2.38%.  The recent move in the domestic indices is majorly led by the bearish indications from the global equity markets.

On the technical front, the index is trading above its horizontal support zone and the 50-period Simple Moving Average (SMA), suggesting potential bullish momentum. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is rising at 55.56, indicating increasing buying pressure. Additionally, with the market price above both the 21-period and 50-period SMAs, these levels appear to provide strong support.

 Global Markets Wrap-Up

Wall Street indices inched lower in the last week and settled on a positive note. Notably, the S&P 500 settled at 5648.40 with a loss of ~4.25%, while NASDAQ Composite Index settled at 16690.83 with a loss of ~5.77% for the week ending September 06, 2024

Having understood the US market performance over the past week, taking cues from major global news, and based on technical analysis of the FTSE All-Share Index (.FTAS) for the upcoming week, now have a look at the two LSE-listed.

stocks pick from the technical analysis standpoint. Noted below are the recommendations based on entry price, target prices, and stop-loss Intertek Group PLC (LON: ITRK) and RS Group PLC (LON: RS1) for the next 2-4 weeks duration:

Intertek Group PLC (LON: ITRK) Noted below are the key price indicators for the recommended stock:

Price Action Analysis (on the Weekly Chart)

On the weekly chart, ITRK demonstrates strong bullish potential. The stock is trading above a key horizontal support level and an ascending trend line, indicating positive momentum. This bullish outlook is bolstered by increased trading volumes and a Relative Strength Index (RSI) of 58.76, reflecting upward momentum. The key resistance level to watch is GBX 5599.00. Should the upward trend persist, the stock may test this resistance within the next 2-4 weeks, potentially leading to further gains.

Technical Indicators Analysis (On the Weekly Chart)

The RSI moving in the positive zone with a reading of 58.76 suggests that the stock has some bullish momentum, supported by volumes indicating increased trading activity. The CMP is trading above the trend-following indicators 21-period & 50-period SMAs and may act as a small support level.

General Recommendation:

As per the above-mentioned price action and technical indicators analysis, Intertek Group PLC is looking technically well-placed on the chart, and a ‘Speculative Buy’ recommendation has been given on the stock. Investment decisions should be made depending on an individual’s appetite for upside potential, risks, and any previous holdings. This recommendation is purely based on technical analysis, and fundamental analysis has not been considered in this report. The summary of recommendation is as follow:

RS Group PLC (LON: RS1)

Price Action Analysis (on the Weekly Chart)

On the weekly chart, RS1 is displaying bullish signals, trading above its horizontal support and maintaining position above the 21-period SMA, which held firm during last week's sell-off. The positive outlook is further supported by strong trading volumes and a robust RSI. The key resistance level to monitor is GBX 860.00. If the upward trend continues, prices could approach this resistance within the next 2-4 weeks.

Technical Indicators Analysis (On the Weekly Chart)

On the weekly chart, the RSI (14-Period) is moving in the positive zone with a reading of 52.41. The volumes also seem supportive of an upside movement. The current market price trading above the 50-period SMA and the 21-period SMA crossing over the 50-period SMA suggest a strong bullish sentiment, supporting potential upward movement in the short term.

General Recommendation:

As per the above-mentioned price action and technical indicators analysis, RS Group PLC looking technically well-placed on the chart, and a ‘Speculative Buy’ recommendation has been given on the stock. Investment decisions should be made depending on an individual’s appetite for upside potential, risks, and any previous holdings. This recommendation is purely based on technical analysis, and fundamental analysis has not been considered in this report. The summary of recommendation is as follow:

Markets are trading in a highly volatile zone currently due to certain macro-economic and geopolitical tensions prevailing. Therefore, it is prudent to follow a cautious approach while investing.

Upcoming Major Global Economic Events

Market events occur on a day-to-day basis depending on the frequency of the data and generally include an update on employment, inflation, GDP, consumer sentiments, etc. Noted below are the upcoming week's major global economic events that could impact the FTSE All-Share Index and listed stocks’ prices.

Related Risks: This report may be looked at from a high-risk perspective and recommendations are provided for a short duration. Recommendations provided in this report are solely based on technical parameters, and the fundamental performance of the stocks has not been considered in the decision-making process. Other factors which could impact stock prices include market risks, regulatory risks, interest rates risks, currency risks, social and political instability risks, etc.

Note 1: Individuals can consider exiting from the stock if the Target Price mentioned as per the technical analysis has been achieved and subject to the factors discussed above.

Note 2: How to Read the Charts?

The Green colour line reflects the 21-period moving average while the red line indicates the 50-period moving average. SMA helps to identify existing price trends. If the prices are trading above the 21-period and 50-period moving average, then it shows prices are currently trading in a bullish trend.

The Black colour line in the chart’s lower segment reflects the Relative Strength Index (14-Period) which indicates price momentum and signals momentum in trend. A reading of 70 or above suggests overbought status while a reading of 30 or below suggests an oversold status.

The Blue colour bars in the chart’s lower segment show the volume of the stock. The volume is the number of shares that changed hands during a given day. Stocks with high volumes are more liquid than stocks with lesser volume and liquidity in stocks helps in easier and faster execution of the order.

The Orange colour lines are the trend lines drawn by connecting two or more price points and used for trend identification purposes. The trend line also acts as a line of support and resistance.

Technical Indicators Defined: -

Support: A level at which the stock prices tend to find support if they are falling, and a downtrend may take a pause backed by demand or buying interest. Support 1 refers to the nearby support level for the stock and if the price breaches the level, then Support 2 may act as the crucial support level for the stock. 

Resistance: A level at which the stock prices tend to find resistance when they are rising, and an uptrend may take a pause due to profit booking or selling interest. Resistance 1 refers to the nearby resistance level for the stock and if the price surpasses the level, then Resistance 2 may act as the crucial resistance level for the stock. 

Stop-loss: In general, it is a level to protect further losses in case of unfavorable movement in the stock prices.

Risk Reward Ratio: Risk reward ratio is the difference between an entry point to a stop loss and profit level. This report is based on ~60% Stop Loss of the Target 1 from the entry point.

A trailing stop-loss is a modification of stop-loss in case of favourable movement in the price to protect the gains. Individuals can Trail the Stop-Loss as per the aforementioned levels if the stock price achieves more than 50% of the Target 1. Individuals should consider exiting from the position as per the Trailing Stop-Loss level if the price starts moving downwards after achieving more than 50% of the Target 1.

The reference date for all price data, currency, technical indicators, support, and resistance levels is September 09, 2024. The reference data in this report has been partly sourced from REFINITIV.

Abbreviations

CMP: Current Market Price

SMA: Simple Moving Average

GBP: British pound sterling

GBX: British pence sterling

RSI: Relative Strength Index

Note: Trading decisions require a thorough analysis by individuals. Technical reports in general chart out metrics that may be assessed by individuals before any stock evaluation. The above are illustrative analytical factors used for evaluating stocks; other parameters can be looked at along with additional risks per se. Past performance is neither an indicator nor a guarantee of future performance.

Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance.

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