US Markets Round-Up

This week, the Russell 3000 index, an important benchmark of the US stock market across all the market capitalizations, started on a marginally negative note and remained volatile for the entire week. It made a low of 2496.94 during the week and settled at 2541.00 with a week till date (WTD) loss of ~0.57 percent on March 03, 2022. Other major indices such as S&P 500 and NASDAQ Composite also showed bearish movement for the week. On March 03, 2022, the S&P 500 index settled at 4363.49 with a WTD loss of ~0.48 percent, while NASDAQ Composite Index settled at 13537.941 with a WTD loss of ~1.14 percent.

The markets swayed wildly as the war between Russia and Ukraine continued; however, improved numbers for ADP non-farm employment change, ISM manufacturing PMI and initial jobless claims limited the losses. As per the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, the weekly US initial jobless claims numbers decreased to 215,000 from 233,000 (revised level) in the prior week.

Having understood the US market performance over the week, taking cues from major global news, and based on our technical analysis of the Russell 3000 index for the upcoming week, now let us have a look at the one NYSE/ NASDAQ listed stock pick from the technical standpoint. Noted below is our recommendation based on generic insights, entry price, target prices, and stop-loss for Antares Pharma, Inc. (NASDAQ: ATRS) for the next 2-4 weeks duration:

Antares Pharma, Inc. 

Antares Pharma, Inc. (NASDAQ: ATRS) is a specialty pharmaceutical company that develops and commercializes pharmaceutical products and technologies. Noted below are the key price indicators for the stock:

Price Action Analysis (on the Weekly Chart) 

ATRS has recently broken a downward sloping trend line from the upside and is trading around the breakout level, indicating the possibility of an upside direction hereon. It has also broken a horizontal resistance level of USD 3.74 on the upside, further supporting a positive bias. Now the next major resistance level for the stock appears at USD 4.50 and prices may test this level in the short-term (2-4 weeks). A further breakout above USD 4.50 may extend buying in the stock.

Technical Indicators Analysis (On the Weekly Chart)

On the weekly chart, RSI (14-period) is trading at 55.91 levels, indicating the stock is successful in emerging out of the lows and heading towards the North. The volumes also seem supportive of the upside movement. Prices are trading above the trend-following indicator 21-period SMA, further supporting an up-move; however, the 50-period SMA is above the CMP and may act as the resistance levels on an immediate basis.

Financial Summary:

Summary of the Key Financial Metrics for the past four years for Antares Pharma, Inc. is as follows:

General Recommendation:

As per the above-mentioned price action and technical indicators analysis, we can conclude that Antares Pharma, Inc. is looking technically well-placed on the chart, and we have a ‘Speculative Buy’ rating on the stock. Investment decisions should be made depending on an investors’ appetite for upside potential, risks, and any previous holdings. This recommendation is purely based on technical analysis, and fundamental analysis has not been considered in this report. The summary of our recommendation is as follows:

Upcoming Major Global Economic Events

Market events occur on a day-to-day basis depending on the frequency of the data and generally include an update on employment, inflation, GDP, consumer sentiments, etc. Noted below are the upcoming week's major global economic events that could impact the Russell 3000 Index and stocks’ prices.

Investment Related Risks: Based on the technical analysis, the risks are defined as per risk-reward ratio (~0.60:1.00), however, returns are generated within 2-4 weeks’ time frame. This may be looked at by Investors with sufficient risk appetite looking for returns within short investment duration. Investment recommendation provided in this report is solely based on technical parameters, and fundamental performance of the stocks has not been considered in the decision-making process. Other factors which could impact the stock prices include market risks, regulatory risks, interest rates risks, currency risks, and social and political instability risks etc.

Note 1: Investors can consider exiting from the stock if the Target Price or Stop loss mentioned as per the technical analysis has been achieved and subject to the factors discussed above. 

Note 2: How to Read the Charts?

The Green colour line reflects the 21-period moving average while the red line indicates the 50- period moving average. SMA helps to identify existing price trend. If the prices are trading above the 21-period and 50-period moving average, then it shows prices are currently trading in a bullish trend.

The Black colour line in the chart’s lower segment reflects the Relative Strength Index (14-Period) which indicates price momentum and signals momentum in trend. A reading of 70 or above suggests overbought status while a reading of 30 or below suggests an oversold status.

The Blue colour bars in the chart’s lower segment show the volume of the stock. The volume is the number of shares that changed hands during a given day. Stocks with high volumes are more liquid than stocks with lesser volume as liquidity in stocks helps in easier and faster execution of the order.

The Orange colour lines are the trend lines drawn by connecting two or more price points and used for trend identification purposes. The trend line also acts as a line of support and resistance.

Technical Indicators Defined: -

Support: A level where-in the stock prices tend to find support if they are falling, and downtrend may take a pause backed by demand or buying interest.

Resistance: A level where-in the stock prices tend to find resistance when they are rising, and uptrend may take a pause due to profit booking or selling interest.

Stop-loss: It is a level to protect further losses in case of unfavourable movement in the stock prices.

Risk Reward Ratio: Risk reward ratio is the difference between an entry point to a stop loss and profit level. We suggest ~60% Stop Loss of the Target 1 from the entry point. 

A trailing stop-loss is a modification of stop-loss in case of favourable movement in the price to protect the gains. We suggest Investors to Trail the Stop-Loss as per the aforementioned levels if the stock price achieves more than 60% of the Target 1. Investors should consider exiting from the position as per the Trailing Stop-Loss level if the price starts moving downwards after achieving more than 60% of the Target 1. 

The reference date for all price data, volumes, technical indicators, support, and resistance levels is March 03, 2022. The reference data in this report has been partly sourced from REFINITIV. 

Abbreviations

CMP: Current Market Price

SMA: Simple Moving Average

RSI: Relative Strength Index

USD: United States dollar 

Note: Trading decisions require a thorough analysis by investors. Technical reports in general chart out metrics that may be assessed by investors before any stock evaluation. The above are illustrative analytical factors used for evaluating the stocks; other parameters can be looked at along with additional risks per se. Past performance is neither an indicator nor a guarantee of future performance.

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