0R15 8884.0068 1.4156% 0R1E 9171.0 0.0% 0M69 None None% 0R2V 255.5 0.3929% 0QYR 1619.0 0.0% 0QYP 434.5 -0.344% 0RUK None None% 0RYA 1600.0 4.5752% 0RIH 195.2 1.3763% 0RIH 195.2 1.3763% 0R1O 225.5 9877.8761% 0R1O None None% 0QFP None None% 0M2Z 255.0 0.2457% 0VSO 33.3 -6.4738% 0R1I None None% 0QZI 596.0 0.0% 0QZ0 220.0 0.0% 0NZF None None% 0YXG 236.3943 1.5483%
UDG Healthcare PLC (LON: UDG) – Strategic acquisitions complementing the underlying profit growth.
UDG Healthcare PLC (LON: UDG) is an FTSE 250 listed healthcare service provider. It was established in 1948 and is headquartered in Dublin, the Republic of Ireland. It provides services related to the advisory, commercial, communication, clinical, technology and packaging services. Moreover, UDG operates under two business divisions – Ashfield and Sharp. Furthermore, Ashfield operates across three business areas - Ashfield Advisory, Ashfield Engage and Ashfield Health. Sharp is one of the prominent players in commercial contract packaging.
On 18 May 2021, UDG will announce the interim results for the six months ended 31 March 2021.
(Source: Company Presentation)
The Company had completed 24 acquisitions and five disposals since 2012.
(Source: Company Presentation)
Growth Prospects and Risk Assessment
UDG has a strong financial and balance sheet position, which can be depicted from its intention to raise the FY20 final dividend. There has been a strong demand for existing as well as newly launched products in the market. The positive market dynamics and growing FDA approvals would benefit UDG’s long-term growth trajectory. Nevertheless, the Company had an enriched history of achieving various operational and financial synergies by making lucrative acquisitions.
(Source: Company Presentation)
The outsourcing from various pharma companies remained a key determinant of growth. Moreover, UDG provides outsourced services to approximately 300 healthcare companies.
However, there are certain potential risks that can impact the business, such as credit risk, liquidity, interest rate fluctuation, failure to meet stringent regulatory requirement and Covid-19 related risk. Moreover, UDG had a risk of failure to capitalize on potential synergies from the recent acquisitions, which may hamper the growth prospects.
Industry Outlook Dynamics
According to Grand View Research’s latest report, the market size of the global pharmaceuticals packaging industry is expected to grow at a CAGR of 8.5% and reach USD 188.79 billion by 2027. Moreover, emerging countries such as Brazil, China, and India would be the key geographical regions to drive growth. Meanwhile, several factors like growing health infrastructure, rising accessibility of medicines, and drug discovery would fuel the pharmaceuticals packaging industry’s demand.
After understanding the industry dynamics, we will analyse some key fundamental and shareholders statistics of UDG Healthcare Plc.
Recent Developments
On 28 January 2021: The Company announced that Linda Wilding, Shane Cooke, and Lisa Ricciardi have stepped down from the Board.
A Glimpse of Business Segments
(Source: Company Website)
Q1 FY21 Trading Update (covering the period from 1 October to 31 December 2020, as on 26 January 2021)
Financial and Operational Highlights (for the year ended 30 September 2020 (FY20), as on 24 November 2020)
(Source: Company Website)
Financial Ratios (FY2020)
Share Price Performance Analysis
On 25 February 2021, at the time of writing (before the market close, at 8:00 AM GMT), UDG Healthcare Plc shares were trading at GBX 757.00, down by 1.24% against the previous day closing price. Stock 52-week High was GBX 849.50 and Low of GBX 423.40, respectively.
From the technical standpoint, 200-day SMA (748.20), 200-day EMA (756.8) and 14-day RSI (23.97) are indicating an upside potential in the stock. The Company’s stock has delivered a positive return of around 7.33% in the last six months.
Based on 1-year performance, UDG has outperformed the FTSE All-Share Healthcare Equipment & Services Index and FTSE-250 Index. It had generated a return of around 6.07%, whereas FTSE All-Share Healthcare Equipment & Services Index return was about -21.09%, and FTSE-250 Index return was close to 2.92%.
Valuation Methodology: Price/Earnings Approach (NTM) (Illustrative)
Business Outlook Scenario
UDG had illustrated adjusted operating profit growth at constant currency during Q1 FY21 as compared to an equivalent period of the prior year. UDG had projected its adjusted operating profit to show growth between 11% and 13% at a constant currency during FY21 as compared to FY20. Similarly, the constant currency adjusted diluted earnings per share were anticipated to witness a growth ranging from 9% to 11% during FY21 as compared to FY20. Ashfield had completed the acquisition of PHMR Limited for a total consideration of up to £32.0 million in January 2021.
UDG’s Sharp segment had carried the positive momentum in FY21 as its adjusted operating profit remained ahead during Q1 FY21 than the similar period of FY20, driven by rising demand for packaging services across Clinical and Commercial businesses. Overall, UDG would continue to look for significant opportunities for strategic acquisitions to achieve underlying profit growth.
(Source: Company Presentation)
Considering the positive Q1 trading performance, strong value share gains, structural improvements in the cost base, decent cash flow performance, robust balance sheet position, sound business model, consistent dividend payments from the last 30 years, and support from the valuation as done using the above method, we have given a “BUY” recommendation on UDG Healthcare Plc at the current price of GBX 757.00 (as on 25 February 2021, before the market close at 8:00 AM GMT), with lower-double digit upside potential based on 24.14x Price/NTM Earnings (approx.) on FY21E earnings per share (approx.).
*All forecasted figures and Peer information have been taken from Refinitiv, Thomson Reuters.
*Dividend Yield may vary as per the stock price movement.
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