0R15 8723.9951 -0.1146% 0R1E 8241.9961 0.8072% 0M69 21090.0 67.5139% 0R2V 228.0 9900.0% 0QYR 1467.5 1.5922% 0QYP 425.0 0.0% 0RUK 2652.0 -9.2402% 0RYA 1565.0 2.2876% 0RIH 176.95 0.0% 0RIH 176.95 0.0% 0R1O 203.5 9900.0% 0R1O None None% 0QFP None None% 0M2Z 263.4 0.4289% 0VSO 32.36 -9.1139% 0R1I None None% 0QZI 555.0 0.0% 0QZ0 220.0 0.0% 0NZF None None% 0YXG 166.16 0.3709%

mid-cap

One FTSE-100 Listed Industrial Stock to Punt on: Rolls-Royce Holdings Plc

Mar 26, 2020 | Team Kalkine
One FTSE-100 Listed Industrial Stock to Punt on: Rolls-Royce Holdings Plc

 



Business Overview
Rolls-Royce Holdings PLC (LON: RR) is a London, United Kingdom-headquartered multinational engineering company with a focus on power and propulsion systems.

Recent News
On 28th February 2020, the company announced the appointment of Non-Executive Director - Dame Angela Strank.
Financial Highlights – Financial year 2019

 
(Source: Preliminary Report, Company Website)
Group’s underlying revenues for the financial year 2019 rose by 7% to £15,450 million, mainly due to growth in Civil Aerospace, offsetting a decline in non-core revenue. Revenue from the underlying core surged by 6% to £15,261 million in 2019, representing growth in both OE and services, led by Power Systems and Civil Aerospace. While the reported revenue increased by 5% to £16,587 million in 2019. Both Group and core underlying operating profit increased 25 per cent to GBP 808 million and GBP 810 million respectively due to organic improvement in Civil Aerospace division. Free cash flow of the Group increased to GBP 873 million in FY2019 versus GBP 568 million in FY2018 while Free cash flow of the core increased to GBP 911 million in FY2019 versus GBP 648 million in FY2018. In FY19, the net cash increased by £521 million to £1,361 million.

Share Price Performance  

Daily Chart as on 26thMarch 2020, before the market closed (Source: Thomson Reuters)

On March 26, 2020, at the time of writing (before the market close, at 9:01 AM GMT), Rolls-Royce Holdings Plc were trading at GBX 402.10, up by 1.24 per cent against the previous day closing price. Stock’s 52 weeks High and Low are GBX 939.61/GBX 300. 

Valuation Methodology

*Peers: Cohort Plc, Chemring Group Plc, Qinetiq Group Plc, Abb Ltd and Boeing Co

Conclusion
After a challenging H1 FY19 period, the company has delivered a growth of 25% in 2019 underlying operating profit and an improvement in free cash flow. With £269 million of run-rate cost savings, the restructuring efforts gained momentum. Civil Aerospace division enhanced its underlying profit substantially, with good aftermarket performance, increased OE unit losses, and record engine deliveries. Further, Rolls-Royce made significant progress on Trent 1000 fixes. By the end of the second quarter of 2020, the group stay on target to decrease aircraft on the ground to single digits. Guidance excludes any material impact from COVID-19 in 2020.

RR took vital steps towards becoming a spearhead in low carbon technologies and continued to invest significantly in research & development. Increased the electrical capabilities with a majority stake in Qinous and the acquisitions of Siemens’ eAircraft business. The group is also evolving new in-house hybrid-electric solutions. The company has generated a strong core free cash flow (FCF) of £911 million. A further step towards the ambition to deliver £1 cash per share in the mid-term. CROIC stable at 12% despite ongoing high level of R&D investment. The underlying revenue for 2020 will be stable to low single-digit growth. In 2020, the operating profit growth of around 15% and core FCF at lease £1 billion.

Based on the decent prospects which are supported by valuation done using the above method, we have given a “BUY” recommendation at the current price of GBX 380 (as on 26th March 2020, before the market close at 8:02 AM GMT) with lower double-digit upside potential based 17.87x NTM P/E (approx.) on FY20E earnings per share (approx.).
 
*All forecasted figures and information have been taken from Thomson Reuters.             


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