Cipher Mining Inc

Cipher Mining Inc. (NASDAQ: CIFR) is a technology company that develops and operates industrial scale bitcoin mining data centers. It operates four bitcoin mining data centers in Texas. Its Odessa data center (the Odessa Facility), which is its wholly owned 207 megawatts (MW) facility located in Odessa, Texas.

Recent Business Highlights

• Bitcoin Production and Operations Updates - December 2023: In December 2023, Cipher demonstrated a noteworthy increase in Bitcoin production, generating approximately 465 BTC. This marked a substantial growth of approximately 7.4% compared to the previous month, coinciding with a concurrent 6.3% rise in the average monthly network hash rate. As part of the routine treasury management process, Cipher engaged in the sale of approximately 228 BTC during December, concluding the month with a remaining balance of approximately 796 BTC.
• Acquisition of ERCOT-approved Site in Texas: A significant development involved the closure of a transaction to acquire a new Texas-based site, approved by ERCOT (Electric Reliability Council of Texas), with interconnection capabilities of up to 300 MW. This strategic acquisition is anticipated to commence operations in 2025.
• Finance and Operations Highlights: Cipher successfully completed the construction of its Odessa facility, deploying up to 7.2 EH/s (exahashes per second) of self-mining capacity across its four data centers. Furthermore, the company executed an agreement to acquire a new site in Texas, securing a conditional ERCOT interconnection approval allowing for up to 300 MW of energy consumption. Additionally, Cipher made a strategic investment by purchasing approximately 1.2 EH/s worth of Bitmain S21 rigs at a rate of USD 14 per terahash. The delivery of these rigs is scheduled to commence in January 2024, contributing to the company's ongoing efforts to enhance its mining capabilities.
• Financial Performance - Q3 2023: In terms of financial performance, Cipher reported a GAAP (Generally Accepted Accounting Principles) diluted net loss of USD 0.07 per share for the third quarter of 2023. However, on a non-GAAP basis, the company achieved a diluted net income of USD 0.02 per share during the same period. These financial results reflect the company's commitment to transparency and adherence to accounting standards. 

Technical Observation (on the daily chart)

Presently, the stock has corrected by approximately 30.25% since reaching its highest point in the past 52 weeks, which occurred on December 27, 2023. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) over a 14-day period stands at 53.75, indicating a state of potential consolidation or a short-term upward momentum. This upward momentum might take the stock closer to a decent resistance level at USD 4.50-USD 4.80. Additionally, the stock's current positioning is above both the 21-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) and the 50-day SMA, which may serve as dynamic short-term support levels.

As per the above-mentioned price action, momentum in the stock over the last month, and technical indicators analysis, a ‘Speculative Buy’ rating has been given Cipher Mining Inc. (NASDAQ: CIFR) at the current market price of USD 3.89 as of January 05, 2024, at 07:30 am PST. 

Individuals can evaluate the stock based on the support and resistance levels provided in the report in case of keen interest taking into consideration the risk-reward scenario.

Markets are trading in a highly volatile zone currently due to certain macro-economic issues and prevailing geopolitical tensions. Therefore, it is prudent to follow a cautious approach while investing. 

Related Risk: This report may be looked at from a high-risk perspective and a recommendation is provided for a short duration. This report is solely based on technical parameters, and the fundamental performance of the stocks has not been considered in the decision-making process. Other factors which could impact the stock prices include market risks, regulatory risks, interest rates risks, currency risks, social and political instability risks etc. 

How to Read the Charts?

The yellow colour line reflects the 21-period simple moving average (SMA) while the blue line indicates the 50- period simple moving average (SMA). SMA helps to identify existing price trends. If the prices are trading above the 21-period and 50-period moving average, then it shows prices are currently trading in a bullish trend.

The orange colour line in the chart’s lower segment reflects the Relative Strength Index (14-Period) which indicates price momentum and signals momentum in trend. A reading of 70 or above suggests overbought status while a reading of 30 or below suggests an oversold status.

The red and green colour bars in the chart’s lower segment show the volume of the stock. The volume is the number of shares that changed hands during a given day. Stocks with high volumes are more liquid than stocks with lesser volume as liquidity in stocks helps with easier and faster execution of the order.

The Orange colour lines are the trend lines drawn by connecting two or more price points and used for trend identification purposes. The trend line also acts as a line of support and resistance.

Technical Indicators Defined: -

Support: A level at which the stock prices tend to find support if they are falling, and a downtrend may take a pause backed by demand or buying interest. Support 1 refers to the nearby support level for the stock and if the price breaches the level, then Support 2 may act as the crucial support level for the stock. 

Resistance: A level at which the stock prices tend to find resistance when they are rising, and an uptrend may take a pause due to profit booking or selling interest. Resistance 1 refers to the nearby resistance level for the stock and if the price surpasses the level, then Resistance 2 may act as the crucial resistance level for the stock. 

Stop-loss: It is a level to protect further losses in case of unfavourable movement in the stock prices. 

Abbreviations

CMP: Current Market Price

SMA: Simple Moving Average

RSI: Relative Strength Index

USD: United States dollar 

Note: Trading decisions require a thorough analysis by individual. Technical reports in general chart out metrics that may be assessed by individuals before any stock evaluation. The above are illustrative analytical factors used for evaluating the stocks; other parameters can be looked at along with additional risks per se. Past performance is neither an indicator nor a guarantee of future performance. 

Note 1: Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance.

Note 2: The reference date for all price data, currency, technical indicators, support, and resistance level is January 05, 2024. The reference data in this report has been partly sourced from REFINITIV.

Note 3: Investment decisions should be made depending on an individual's appetite for upside potential, risks, holding duration, and any previous holdings. An 'Exit' from the stock can be considered if the Target Price mentioned as per the Valuation and or the technical levels provided has been achieved and is subject to the factors discussed above.

Note 4: Target Price refers to a price level that the stock is expected to reach as per the relative valuation method and or technical analysis taking into consideration both short-term and long-term scenarios.

Note 5: ‘Kalkine reports are prepared based on the stock prices captured either from the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE), NASDAQ Capital Markets (NASDAQ), and or REFINITIV. Typically, all sources (NYSE, NASDAQ, or REFINITIV) may reflect stock prices with a delay which could be a lag of 15-20 minutes. There can be no assurance that future results or events will be consistent with the information provided in the report. The information is subject to change without any prior notice.’