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One NYSE - Listed Restaurant Stock Under Radar - SG

Jul 31, 2025 | Team Kalkine
One NYSE - Listed Restaurant Stock Under Radar - SG
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  • SG:NYSE
  • Investment Type
    Small-Cap
  • Risk Level
  • Action
  • Rec. Price (US$)

Sweetgreen, Inc

Sweetgreen, Inc (NYSE: SG) is a restaurant and lifestyle brand focused on delivering healthy food at scale. Its menu is intentionally designed to offer customization and convenience, enabling customers to make nutritious choices for both lunch and dinner.

Key Financial Updates:

  • Revenue Growth Driven by New Store Openings: For the first quarter of fiscal year 2025, Sweetgreen, Inc. reported total revenue of USD 166.3 million, reflecting a year-over-year increase of 5.4% compared to USD 157.9 million in the prior year period. This growth was primarily attributed to an incremental USD 13.7 million in revenue generated by 30 net new restaurant openings that occurred during or after the first quarter of fiscal 2024. However, this gain was partially offset by a decline in comparable restaurant base revenue of USD 4.9 million, due to a 6.5% reduction in traffic and product mix, which was modestly offset by a 3.4% benefit from menu price increases.
  • Same-Store Sales and Digital Revenue Trends: Sweetgreen experienced a Same-Store Sales decline of 3.1% during the quarter, in contrast to a 5.0% growth recorded in the prior year period. Despite this decline, the company maintained its Average Unit Volume (AUV) at USD 2.9 million. Total Digital Revenue accounted for 59.9% of sales, slightly higher than 58.9% in Q1 FY2024, while Owned Digital Revenue constituted 31.9%, slightly down from 32.8% previously. These figures reflect sustained digital engagement but also suggest minor shifts in customer ordering channels.
  • Operational and Profitability Metrics: Loss from operations totaled USD (28.5) million, with a margin of -17.2%, marginally wider than the USD (26.9) million loss and -17.1% margin seen in the year-ago period. Restaurant-Level Profit was USD 29.7 million, resulting in a margin of 17.9%, which was slightly below the 18.1% margin from the prior year. The decline in restaurant-level profitability was driven by negative same-store sales and increased advertising spend, partly offset by efficiencies in labor, improved ingredient sourcing, and reduced occupancy costs at newly opened restaurants.
  • General and Administrative Spending: General and administrative (G&A) expenses rose to USD 38.3 million or 23.1% of revenue, from USD 36.9 million or 23.4% in Q1 FY2024. The increase in G&A expenses was primarily attributed to higher investments in marketing and strategic spending within the Sweetgreen Support Center to sustain growth and expansion. These increased costs were partially mitigated by reductions in management salaries and bonuses, helping to contain overall G&A margin growth.
  • Net Loss and Adjusted EBITDA Improvement: Net loss for the quarter decreased to USD (25.0) million from USD (26.1) million in the same period last year. This improvement was largely a result of a USD 1.2 million increase in Restaurant-Level Profit, though it was partially offset by higher depreciation and amortization expenses linked to store expansion and increased G&A expenditures. Adjusted EBITDA rose modestly to USD 0.3 million, compared to USD 0.1 million in the previous year, reflecting incremental improvements in operating efficiency and profitability despite ongoing cost pressures.
  • Fiscal 2025 Outlook and Strategic Focus: Looking ahead, Sweetgreen projects at least 40 net new restaurant openings for fiscal year 2025, with half featuring its automated “Infinite Kitchen” technology. The company anticipates full-year revenue in the range of USD 740 million to USD 760 million and a flat same-store sales performance. Restaurant-Level Profit Margin is forecasted to reach approximately 19.5%, and Adjusted EBITDA is expected to be around USD 30 million. Management emphasized that specific reconciliations to GAAP metrics are not provided due to variability in certain inputs but reaffirmed confidence in the brand’s resilience, digital focus, and long-term growth strategy.

Technical Observation (on the daily chart):

Sweetgreen Inc. (SG) has been in a prolonged downtrend but is currently showing signs of stabilization around the USD 13 level. The price is approaching a potential bullish crossover between the 21-day and 50-day moving averages, while the RSI at 45.99 suggests improving, though still neutral, momentum. Recent volume uptick supports a possible early accumulation phase.

Sweetgreen delivered a solid start to fiscal 2025 with a 5.4% year-over-year revenue increase driven by new restaurant openings, while maintaining consistent AUV and improving adjusted EBITDA. Despite a decline in same-store sales, the company demonstrated strong cost control, sustaining a healthy restaurant-level profit margin of 17.9% and narrowing its net loss. With plans for 40 new openings—half featuring its innovative Infinite Kitchen—and a projected restaurant-level profit margin of 19.5% for the year, Sweetgreen is positioning itself for sustainable growth and operational resilience.

As per the above-mentioned price action, recent key business and financial updates, momentum in the stock over the last month, and technical indicators analysis, a ‘Buy’ rating has been given to Sweetgreen, Inc (NYSE: SG) at the closing market price of USD 13.34 as of July 30,2025. 

Individuals can evaluate the stock based on the support and resistance levels provided in the report in case of keen interest taking into consideration the risk-reward scenario.

 

Markets are trading in a highly volatile zone currently due to certain macro-economic issues and prevailing geopolitical tensions. Therefore, it is prudent to follow a cautious approach while investing.

Related Risk: This report may be looked at from a high-risk perspective and a recommendation is provided for a short duration. This report is solely based on technical parameters, and the fundamental performance of the stocks has not been considered in the decision-making process. Other factors which could impact the stock prices include market risks, regulatory risks, interest rates risks, currency risks, social and political instability risks etc. 

Note 1: Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance.

Note 2: The reference date for all price data, currency, technical indicators, support, and resistance level is July 30,2025. The reference data in this report has been partly sourced from REFINITIV.

Note 3: Investment decisions should be made depending on an individual's appetite for upside potential, risks, holding duration, and any previous holdings. An 'Exit' from the stock can be considered if the Target Price mentioned as per the Valuation and or the technical levels provided has been achieved and is subject to the factors discussed above.

Note 4: Target Price refers to a price level that the stock is expected to reach as per the relative valuation method and or technical analysis taking into consideration both short-term and long-term scenarios.

Note 5: ‘Kalkine reports are prepared based on the stock prices captured either from the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE), NASDAQ Capital Markets (NASDAQ), and or REFINITIV. Typically, all sources (NYSE, NASDAQ, or REFINITIV) may reflect stock prices with a delay which could be a lag of 15-20 minutes. There can be no assurance that future results or events will be consistent with the information provided in the report. The information is subject to change without any prior notice.


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